Gold and silver are likely to feel another hooray before the summer vacations

Gold Chart
Blockcard


The chart with the 405-day cycle should not really please the Gold bugs. But a downward cycle in the second half of the year does not necessarily mean that all the gains from the first half have to be lost again… just remember Summer 2023… And the most important question will only be answered at the end of the next cycle: Will the high hit rate even remain???

The premium in the Gold price between Shanghai and the western markets has recently narrowed to 1%…

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However, Silver still pays around 11% more in Shanghai than in London or Chicago…

The number of outstanding Gold ETFs in China remains at a very high level. Chinese investors remain loyal to their Gold investments…

Investors in the West continue to sell their investments in Gold ETFs. The number of outstanding ETFs is still decreasing…

Total ETF holdings in gold chart

There is still no interest in Silver ETFs in the West either…

total ETF holdings in siver chart

But the supply of Silver on the Shanghai Futures Exchange has recently fallen dramatically…

Shanghai futures exchange silver stocks chart

According to Smart Investors Action, the consolidation of investors in Shanghai should soon be over. There are clear signs that there is less distribution…

gold - smart investors action - Shanghai chart

The After Open Action also indicates that the consolidation could soon be over…

Gold - after open action - Shanghai chart

In London/Chicago, investors continue to accumulate massively in the background – but cautiously without pushing the price…

Gold - smart investors action - London/Chicago chart

…and the After Open Action in the West is positive again…

Gold - after open action - London/Chicago chart

Even if the Silver price has consolidated recently, there has been further strong accumulation in the background…

Silver - Smart investors action chart

And the After Open Action suggests that buyers will soon be more aggressive again…

Silver - after open action chart

Even the Balance of Power, which measures the forces between the bulls and bears, suggests that the bulls could soon take over the control again…

Silver - balance of power chart

Silver has recently disappointed somewhat compared to Gold. Let’s hope that this was only of a temporary nature…

Relative silver vs. gold chart

The Platinum price has also fallen back more sharply recently. But the accumulation of smart investors has never really stopped in the background and is picking up again…

Platinum - smart investors action chart

Moreover, investors never really became pessimistic…

Platinum - optimism/pessimism of investors chart

Here too, the After Open Action shows that the bulls are taking control again…

Platinum - after open action chart

Palladium, on the other hand, is likely to continue to disappoint. Smart Investors indicates that investors are still not interested…

Palladium - smart investors action chart

This is also reflected in the performance comparison with Platinum: Palladium is unable to build up any strength of its own…

relative palladium vs. platinum chart

And on the COMEX, the short positions of investors (non-commercials) are being further expanded…

CFTC NYMX palladium managed Mo chart

Still on mining stocks: According to Smart Investor Action, there has been massive distribution recently. The fact that the mining indices have not lost more ground can also be interpreted as a sign of strength… In any case, this distribution pressure should also decrease here from now on…

GDM index - smart investors action chart

Confirmation also comes from the After Open Action…

GDM index - after open action chart



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